Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 11.511608 13.245352 15.103894 17.238875 19.617914 22.181654 25.147477
2025-07-20 9.212644 11.560224 14.254005 17.552215 21.458731 25.914648 31.356703
2025-07-27 7.741979 10.386449 13.582057 17.684494 22.763754 28.796180 36.447691
2025-08-03 6.434364 9.164465 12.618089 17.237917 23.178108 30.476268 40.027430
2025-08-10 5.468607 8.225871 11.860989 16.904407 23.607075 32.086167 43.482399
2025-08-17 4.683964 7.418743 11.166399 16.543978 23.908719 33.473093 46.635949
2025-08-24 4.053312 6.743831 10.568076 16.230402 24.202417 34.805572 49.712634
2025-08-31 3.470372 6.064904 9.888496 15.725868 24.166319 35.651212 52.127003
2025-09-07 3.131636 5.716404 9.648405 15.812689 24.931786 37.582456 56.041661
2025-09-14 2.820900 5.374545 9.381357 15.825801 25.569647 39.336912 59.748982
2025-09-21 2.585689 5.128890 9.236248 16.000307 26.433429 41.421523 63.965913
2025-09-28 2.335486 4.828215 8.974259 15.966550 26.968746 43.036861 67.551092
2025-10-05 2.186976 4.694608 8.977724 16.356594 28.173930 45.684543 72.733241
2025-10-12 2.036097 4.539617 8.930806 16.657044 29.247286 48.169060 77.752054
2025-10-19 1.871915 4.339944 8.788140 16.783721 30.042212 50.252015 82.229579
2025-10-26 1.641568 3.982818 8.336779 16.356106 29.919048 50.923908 84.607304
2025-11-02 1.453281 3.686169 7.966567 16.036811 29.944263 51.807844 87.311287
2025-11-09 1.283081 3.404858 7.598573 15.691798 29.899858 52.567090 89.829674
2025-11-16 1.137270 3.156707 7.270355 15.391679 29.907205 53.394847 92.461520
2025-11-23 0.988145 2.879695 6.859585 14.908891 29.570065 53.646908 94.185096
2025-11-30 0.911572 2.762189 6.757235 14.991962 30.213391 55.498446 98.473273
2025-12-07 0.835368 2.635094 6.623615 15.004508 30.727453 57.147024 102.473212
2025-12-14 0.779313 2.550969 6.572576 15.171488 31.520108 59.274739 107.291423